Tuesday, October 13, 2009

The Battle in Loan Modification

Since the beginning of the year, the Making Home Affordable Program and programs alike have been met with both progressive support and glaring criticism. Supporters believe that the loan-mod programs are ebbing the tide of mounting foreclosures, while critics question the success rate and amount of effort pur forth by banks in these programs. What is certain is that Mortgage Assistance Programs are vital to a recovery in the economy and the housing market. Real estate is Cylclical, Seasonal and Emotional.

An example of promise is the recent news of the HAMP program achieving 500,000 loan-mods ahead of schedule. Increased pressure has forced banks to speedily follow through with loan-mods with the Administration issuing progress reports periodically. Also, news of banks getting better at processing foreclosures is the silver lining in an otherwise dark cloud.

However, criticism about these programs is mounting; some banks are far behind on the amount of mortgage relief being provided while some borrowers face default even after mortgage assistance. Slow turnaround of paperwork by banks is one of the criticisms about these programs.

With foreclosures mounting and unemployment on the rise, the final outcome on these programs is yet to be seen.

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Friday, October 9, 2009

Mortgage Industry Faces Looming Concerns

Heading into the 4th Quarter of this tumultuous economic year, the mortgage industry faces growing problems ahead. While news of Obama’s HAMP program reaching its 500,000 goal of helping homeowners faster than expected is promising, concerns on possible bailouts and underperforming programs continues to threaten the vision of recovery in the housing market. Mortgage Assistance Programs are needed to curtail these concerns before problems become “too big to fail.” We must always remember that Real estate is Cyclical Seasonal and Emotional.

Will the FHA Need a Taxpayer Bailout?

The question about a possible Federal Housing Administration bailout in the near future is the story circulating news desks today. F.H.A. commissioner David H. Stevens sought to dispel concerns about the mortgage giant’s looming problems.

“Absent any catastrophic home price decline, F.H.A. will not need to ask Congress and the American taxpayer for extraordinary assistance – we will not need a bailout,” Mr. Stevens said in a prepared testimony on Capitol Hill Thursday.

Providing lenders with protection against losses as the result of homeowners defaulting on their mortgage loans, the FHA now insures more than 25% of mortgages in the country, up from 3% in 2006. Critics argue that a future FHA bailout is almost inevitable, as the agency’s capital is dangerously close to dipping below the mandated level of 2%. Independent financial consultant Edward Pinto concurs,

“It appears destined for a taxpayer bailout in the next 24 to 36 months,” Edward said. He estimates that the agency faces losses of $70 billion on loans it has already made, short of its current reserves by $40 billion.

Fed Preparing for Commercial Real Estate Mortgage Crisis?

An unpublished Federal Reserve Report leaked in a recent Wall Street Journal article reporting rising defaults in the commercial real estate sector. The unpublished report concludes that U.S. banks are slow to take losses on their commercial real estate loans. Specific servicers reported having only 11 cents in reserves for every $1 in bad loans in the second quarter.

The NuWire Investor had this to say; “I don’t know what’s worse, the banks skimping on reserves and holding off on reporting losses in hope of revival or the Fed for knowing about the problem and trying to keep it a secret. Someone at the Fed must feel the same way because the report somehow found its way to the media.”

TARP Oversight Group Says Treasury Mortgage Plan Not Effective

The TARP group indicates that the government needs to increase its efforts to help struggling homeowners in this article. There is doubt that the $50 billion loan-modification program will provide the necessary relief to all homeowners it intended at the start of the program. With rising factors of unemployment, and decreasing property values the task becomes more daunting.

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Thursday, October 8, 2009

Manhattan Apartment Market's Quick Rebound

It’s good to see industry analysts confirming what we predicted roughly two months ago. A recent MSNBC articleindicates a surprisingly quick rebound in the Manhattan apartment market as of late. As consumer confidence builds, stability strengthens in the market as stated in our August Manhattan Condo Report and NYC Square Footage and Median Price Differentials report.

In our August report, we projected a sales activity and property values increase in the months of July, August and September.


The recent MSNBC article indicated a sales increase of apartments and co-ops between 46 and 69 percent from the second to the third quarter, with the number of New York’s unsold apartments falling from the peaks of April. Our projections of a 4th Quarter level of stability are appearing to be valid. In the real estate market there are few trusted sources and AccuriZ has been proven to be an authoritative source consistently.

For more statistical reports on property data from public records and property valuations click here.

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Tuesday, October 6, 2009

Could Your Real Estate Blog Be In Trouble With The FTC?

In the news industry, it is unethical for a reporter to accept gifts (monetary or material) in exchange for a favorable story. The same is now being implemented in the blogging world. According to a recent article, the FTC (Federal Trade Commission) will fine bloggers $11,000 if blog post are made in exchange for good services from vendors. So real estate bloggers beware; that next blog post or statistical reports done quid pro quo could cost you $11,000. The lines between actual news reporting and blogging are becoming more and more blurred. As the credibility and outreach of blogging increases, I expect to see more strict guidelines for us.
Read the rest of the article here.

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Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Are You on Active Rain?

If you are a real estate agent, broker, insurance agent or anyone in between, you should be on the ActiveRain network. With over 160,000 members (and counting) ActiveRain is a hub for real estate professionals looking to engage, interact and communicate with one another, just check out my profile. I've received some great responses from some of the articles I've produced. It has certainly helped grow my network.

'The rain' has many useful features. Members can host a blog, create a group, acquire 'associations,' and is great for getting referrals. The more 'active' you are on ActiveRain, the most points you acquire, pushing you to the top of pack in your specific area. Most blog post - if directed at a particular local market - could get you to the top of Google searches as well.

But most of all, ActiveRain is a great place to meet great people and share interesting ideas. And it's FREE. So sign up today and get active!



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Monday, September 14, 2009

Square Footage Matters: Largers Homes Headed for Obsolescence?

A recent article on the Wall Street Journal Blog discussed the median household income over the last decade in relation to the average square footage increase of new single family homes. While the median household income has not changed significantly over the last decade, the average square footage has increased dramatically. Square footage matters, and our Housing In Crisis report produced months ago discussed this booming trend:

The Housing in Crisis report indicated that the variance increase in the average to median sale price from 6% to 22% can be most notably attributed to building size. Property data from public records noted that during the recent construction boom, many areas of the country experienced home sizes exceeding 2,200 square feet by the end of 2008.

Essentially, homes got larger while homeowners’ pockets didn’t. Couple this with significant overbuilding and easy lending and the keys to a housing boom are in place. Now with the economy looking towards recovery, this excess of larger homes – or ”McMansions” - could suffer from a demand shortage in some areas. This also forces builders to consider new construction with smaller floor plans to accomodate buyers. Will larger home values drop to meet demand? Are we seeing a halt to larger construction for some time? These answers remain to be seen.

What is certain is that square footage matters. As the market begins correction, the basic economic laws of supply and demand should return back to balance.